Market View
J200 113,645.00 -0.61% J203 121,845.00 -0.55% J210 138,408.00 -0.82% J211 132,441.00 -0.54% J212 27,146.00 -0.34% J213 146,802.00 -0.46%
Winning Shares (Top 5)
Code Name Added Price Latest % Gain % Gain/Year
SUR SPURCORP 2023-08-08 2488 3930 +57.96% +22.85%
ADH ADVTECH 2023-08-14 1975 3990 +102.03% +40.48%
CGR CALGRO-M3 2023-08-15 356 510 +43.26% +17.18%
CAA CA-SALES 2023-08-25 775 1490 +92.26% +37.05%
CPI CAPITEC 2023-11-04 185496 475013 +156.08% +67.98%
Opinions (Top 5)
Code Name Date Action
JBL JUBILEE 2026-02-20 View

Jubilee Metals Group (JBL) is a diversified metals recovery company which re-processes mine waste and surface materials. It is listed both on the London AIM market and on the JSE's Alt-X. It has operations in South Africa, the UK, Madagascar, and Australia - and it is involved in a joint venture in Zambia to produce lead, zinc and vanadium.

The company primarily produces platinum group metals (PGM) and chrome, and its primary asset is a 63% stake in the Tjate project, which is assessed to include the world's largest undeveloped block of platinum ore with an estimated potential of 65m ounces on the Western limb of the Bushveld Igneous Complex. However, in recent years the company has "...pivoted towards a smelting and beneficiation strategy as a cashflow survival strategy." Jubilee has spending about R154m to consolidate its PGM retreatment business by buying a reprocessing plant and some dumps.

The R154m is being used to buy a chrome processing operation and 1,8m tons of tailings from PlatCro Minerals. It is a low-cost producer, but subject to the vagaries of the platinum and base metals markets. In its results for the year to 30th June 2025 the company reported a loss for the year of $29,76m compared to a profit of $6,39m in the previous year.

The headline loss was 62c (US) compared with a profit of 8c in the previous period. The company said, "The financial year to end-June was one of momentous change for Jubilee Metals. Very soon, the Company will become a pure play copper producer, generating our revenue from an exciting suite of copper growth assets situated on one of the richest copper belts on earth".

In an update on the six months to 31st December 2025 the company said, "Roan Operations (Roan) reached targeted production levels of approximately 30 000 tonnes per month feed rate during the period overcoming the expected rainy season interruptions. Roan produced 1 246t of Cu units in H1 FY2026, an increase of 172.8% from H1 FY2025". In our view, this share may be one of the better options in the mining sector but remains highly volatile and risky.

We suggest waiting for a break up through the share's long-term downward trendline. That has not yet happened. On 7th October 2024 the company announced that it had increased its stake in project "G" to 65% and that it had secured an additional 2 megawatts of power from an IPP. 

KIO KUMBA-IO 2026-02-20 View

Kumba (KIO) is a highly successful iron mining operation which is owned (79%) and controlled by Anglo American. The share price fell to as little as R223 in March 2020 because of COVID-19 but recovered to R668 before falling on the March 2022 quarterly results. Importantly, exports make up 94% of the company's total sales - which means that it is not heavily dependent on local sales but is vulnerable to any strengthening of the rand and the effectiveness of rail transport to ports.

The company is planning to build a 100mw solar park over the next 3 years to reduce its reliance on Eskom. The company has had to contend with heavy rain and bad rail performance. On 10th October 2022, Kumba announced that, because of the force majeure at Transnet, it would lose about 50 000 tons of production per day, rising to 90 000 tons after 7 days as a direct result of the Transnet force majeure.

Furthermore, they said they would lose about 120 000 tons of exports which will cost them about $8,5m a day in production and $11,7m in lost export revenue. The company is considering 490 retrenchments. In its results for the year to 31st December 2025 the company reported revenue up 2% and headline earnings per share (HEPS) up 18%.

The company said, "Average realised free-on-board (FOB) export price of US$95 per wet metric tonne, 12% above benchmark. Cost savings of R673 million. R5.1 billion saved since 2024. Resilient adjusted EBITDA* margin of 46%, up from 41%. Closing net cash* of R14.9 billion". The share trades at a multiple of 7,61 and a dividend yield (DY) of 7,32% - which compensates the investor to some extent for the commodity risk in this rand-hedge share, but it remains volatile and hence risky.

Technically, the share has been in an upward trend since June 2025. 

GFI GFIELDS 2026-02-20 View

Gold Fields (GFI) is a relatively high-cost international gold mining house with a single mine in South Africa - South Deep. South Deep was bought by Gold Fields in 2006 and it has struggled to make the mine profitable, pouring in a total of R32bn (R22bn purchase price plus R10bn in development costs) into it over the past 14 years.

Brett Kebble once described South Deep as, "The world's most expensive long drop...". South Deep is 3 kilometres deep and a very difficult mine with many technical complications, but it is the second largest unmined gold resource in the world - hence Gold Field's persistence. Gold Fields is working with an independent power producer (IPP) to build a 50MW project in SA.

The company has spent a total of $502m over the past two years to ensure that Damang and Gruyere (international operations) would produce 2 million ounces a year for the next ten years. South Deep now has R800m less in costs and R400m less in capital expenditure. The company is focusing on bringing the new Salares Norte gold mine in Chile into production.

On 11th July 2022 the company said that it would list on the Toronto Stock Exchange and that it would adopt a dividend policy of paying between 30% and 45% of profits out.  Its protracted investment in South Deep is definitely beginning to pay off with output expected to rise by about 25% over the next 4 years. On 12th August 2024 the company announced that it had acquired the remaining 50% of Osisko Mining for $1,57bn (R29bn).

In its results for the year to 31st December 2025 the company reported attributable profit of $3.99 per share compared with $1.39 in the previous year. Headline earnings per share (HEPS) increased to 288c from 133c. The company said, "Gold produced and sold throughout this report includes copper gold equivalents of approximately 3% and silver gold equivalents of approximately 1% of Group production, respectively".

Technically, the share is volatile and subject to shifts in the international price of gold, but it has been in a strong upward trend over the past five years. It remains a volatile commodity play and hence volatile. Its was added to the Winning Shares List (WSL) on 4th February 2025 at a price of 32915c.

It has subsequently risen to 84215c (19-2-25) - a gain of 156.3% in just over a year.

MNP MONDIPLC 2026-02-20 View

Mondi (MNP) is a massive international paper and packaging company that started in South Africa, but now has interests in 30 countries and employs 26000 people at about 100 sites. It has businesses in the full spectrum of packaging, and it is extremely professionally managed. It owns and runs forests, produces wood pulp, paper, and plastic films for the production of a wide variety of packaging solutions.

The company has been impacted by developments in the Ukraine crisis. In an update on 28th February 2022 the company said, "Mondi has operations in Russia, representing around 12% of the Group's revenue by location of production, including a high margin, cost-competitive, integrated pulp, packaging paper and uncoated fine paper mill located in Syktyvkar (Komi Republic)." The company has decided to divest itself of all its Russian holdings which had a net asset value (NAV) of 687m euros at 31st December 2021.

On 1st July 2022 the company announced that it had completed the sale of personal care business for 615m euros. On 12th August 2022 the company announced that it had sold its Russian subsidiary for about R25bn. The announcement caused the share price to jump. In its results for the year to 31st December 2025 the company reported revenue up 3% and headline earnings per share (HEPS) down 21%.

The company said, "Going into 2026, it remains unclear when geopolitical and macroeconomic conditions will improve. Paper prices are modestly lower, on average, than those seen in the final quarter of 2025". In our view this is in a difficult business which tends to make the shares volatile.

Technically, the share was in a strong upward trend after March 2020 but was then derailed by the Ukraine situation in March 2022. Since then it has been moving sideways and downwards and it has been very volatile. In March 2024 the company announced that it would acquire 54% of LSE-listed DS Smith Plc for GBP5,14bn.

On 9th October 2024 the company announced that it had acquired the packaging assets of Schumacher Packaging for 634m euros.

EQU EQUITES 2026-02-20 View

Equites (EQU) is the only real estate investment trust (REIT) on the JSE which specialises in industrial logistics and distribution properties in South Africa and the UK. It has about R12bn worth of assets in South Africa and R7,4bn worth in the UK. Its most recent acquisition of a 100 000 square meter logistics property in Germiston was expensive, but it has an A-grade tenant in the form of Simba and a good yield which will make the property highly profitable in years to come.

The property was bought from Investec Asset Management for R462m. Of all property REITs, those which include logistics properties like warehousing are the most sought-after because of the steady increase in online shopping by consumers. CEO, Andrea Taverna-Turisan says "...a wall of cash is leaving retail property and going to logistics." Equites has achieved a return of just under 25% per annum since it listed.

In its results for the six months to 31st August 2025 the company reported gross property revenue down 5,5% and headline earnings per share (HEPS) down 1%. The company's net asset value (NAV) increased 2,7% to 1693c per share and its loan-to-value (LTV) was at 37,2%. The company said, "In South Africa, this was a period of cautious optimism with inflation easing, increased public investment, and a renewed focus on infrastructure." In an update on 1st December 2025, the company said, "Equites has also been awarded a tender for a global third-party logistics organisation for the development of a 24,000m2 facility in Gauteng at a cost of R0.3 billion.

In addition to this, Equites has been given the go-ahead to extend the Premier FMCG facility at Lords View, Gauteng by 7,000m2, thereby increasing this facility to 32,000m2". In a prec-close update on the year to 28th February 2026 the company reported, "FY26 delivered solid earnings growth while establishing key foundations for future expansion.

EQU strengthened its position in both debt and equity markets, enhancing funding flexibility and capital readiness". Since June 2023 the share has been rising in a volatile upward trend. We believe that Equites represents good value at the current price. We regard this as one of the better property shares available on the JSE.

Winning Share: CPI
Opinion: GFI
Hudaco Latest Financials  (2026-02-16)

In their latest financials for the year to 30th November 2025 Hudaco describes itself as “...a South African group specialising in the importation and distribution of a broad range of high-quality, branded automotive, industrial and electronic consumable products, mainly in the southern African…

In their latest financials for the year to 30th November 2025 Hudaco describes itself as “...a South African group specialising in the importation and distribution of a broad range of high-quality, branded automotive, industrial and electronic consumable products, mainly in the southern African region”.

It has long been one of our favourite shares on the JSE and we have written two articles extolling its virtues the first on the 7th February 2021 and the next on the 14th of February 2022. It is essentially an investment in the growth prospects of the South African economy. It is not a dramatic performer, but rather a company that is growing steadily both organically and through careful bolt-on acquisitions.

It is well worth taking the time to read their latest financials for the year to 30th November 2025. The fundamentals revealed in their figures should make any investor in their shares feel happy.

Their turnover for the year increased by 4,4% - which is barely above the inflation rate but still shows growth in real terms. What is impressive, however, is that out of that turnover, they managed to increase their operating profit by 8,9% and their headline earnings per share by 15,7% - and this is after taking a R104m goodwill impairment. Their return on equity (ROE) for the whole group was 17% and would have been 19,5% without the impairment. This shows that they kept costs tightly controlled while improving efficiencies across the board – in other words, that they have excellent management.

During the year the company made two acquisitions – Isotec and Flosolve – both of which have now been integrated into the business. Their results are only included for six and seven months respectively – so we can expect them to have a much greater impact on the current year’s results.

Consider the chart:

Hudaco (HDC) : October 2020 - 13th of February 2026. Chart by ShareFriend Pro.

The chart shows that following COVID-19, Hudaco reached a low point of 5616c on 25th May 2020. Since then it has been rising steadily. We wrote about it in our article on 7th February 2021 by which time the share has reached 10046c and then again, a year later, on 14th February 2022 when it was at 15762c. Since then, the share has climbed to 20680c and looks poised to go higher.

This business supplies a variety of products to the mining industry and so is benefiting indirectly from the rising prices of platinum group metals (PGM), gold and copper. They are also benefiting from the on-going reduction of interest rates and the falling cost of petrol in South Africa which directly impact on the profits of their customers.  

The current price/earnings ratio (P:E) is only 8.9 which is roughly half of the JSE’s average P:E of 16,8. This shows that its value is not yet fully appreciated by institutional investors.  With an average daily volume traded of more than R3,5m, Hudaco is certainly more than adequate for private investor requirements and can now accommodate small institutional investments comfortably.

We expect this share to continue to grow, especially considering its proven track record of conservative and effective management combined with its policy of making regular bolt-on acquisitions. If you are positive about the prospects of the South African economy in the medium term, then this share is well worth your consideration.

Datatec  (2026-02-09)

Many private investors shy away from IT shares because they can be difficult to understand. Their business models are often highly complex making it problematic to accurately assess their fundamental risk. Datatec is an international IT and telecommunications company with operations in more than 50…

Many private investors shy away from IT shares because they can be difficult to understand.  Their business models are often highly complex making it problematic to accurately assess their fundamental risk. Datatec is an international IT and telecommunications company with operations in more than 50 countries world-wide which makes it even more challenging as an investment. My response to this type of complexity is to look at the results and the people involved.

In its results for the six months to 31st August 2025 the company reported gross invoiced income up 9,4% and headline earnings per share (HEPS) up 109,5%. Clearly, this company is growing its turnover while at the same time hugely improving its operational efficiency.

Because of its international footprint, Datatec offers the investor a rand-hedge. It is also obviously benefiting from the world-wide move towards artificial intelligence (AI). It makes a gross margin of 26.3% and its operating costs are coming down. By bringing down its net debt the company has reduced its finance costs by 27.1%. From an investor’s perspective this makes buying the shares far less risky. Companies with plenty of “headroom” have the cash to avoid problems and take advantage of opportunities.  

Its business is divided into three main divisions - technology distribution through Westcon International, integration and managed services through Logicalis, and consulting and financial services through Datatec Financial Services and Analysys Mason.

Consider the chart:

Datatec (DTC) : April 2023 - 6th of February 2026. Chart by ShareFriend Pro.

The chart shows that Datatec had an extended period of sideways movement between April 2023 and October 2024. Then it began to move up strongly. We added it to the Winning Shares List (WSL) 26th October 2024 at a price of 3950c, when it began showing signs of structural improvement and it has since gone up to 7781 – a gain of 97% in 15 months. We believe it will continue to perform well as AI becomes more ubiquitous.

Jens Montanana is the CEO of Datatec and has been in that position since the company listed on the JSE more than thirty years ago. His drive and energy are what taken the company up to a market capitalisation of R12bn. Montanana says that “...the growth of interconnected digital communities and increased IT complexity drove infrastructure demand in networking and cybersecurity”. Now I will be first to admit that I do not understand the implications of that statement – but I know growth and financial stability when I see it.

The rapid rise of artificial intelligence (AI) has forced businesses to implement the technology within their operations if they are to remain competitive. Datatec is riding that wave.

Obviously, this is a company which is dominated by Montanana and that does make it vulnerable to his inevitable retirement at some stage. However, we believe that Datatec has built a very solid international; presence which will continue to provide it with growth opportunities in the future whoever is in charge.

It is not one of the fastest growing shares on the JSE, but it has been a very steady performer since we added it to the WSL.

 

Clicks Oversold  (2026-01-26)

Technical analysis is the study of investor perceptions as they are reflected in the price and volume patterns of a security. It is also true that shares move in cycles which take them from being overbought to being oversold and back again. This is especially true of the blue chip shares which are…

Technical analysis is the study of investor perceptions as they are reflected in the price and volume patterns of a security. It is also true that shares move in cycles which take them from being overbought to being oversold and back again. This is especially true of the blue chip shares which are heavily traded and patronised by the big institutions (pension funds, unit trusts and insurance companies).  The fund managers who manage the institutional portfolios account for about 90% of all trades on the JSE.

In our opinion, Clicks (CLS) is a high-quality share which should be part of every private investor’s portfolio. The problem is that it is generally very popular with the big institutions who are always buying it, which tends to make it very expensive – most of the time. But there are occasions when it goes out of fashion with the fund managers for some reason and at those moments it can represent excellent value and a great buying opportunity. In our opinion, right now is just such a moment.

A few days ago on 22nd January 2026, Clicks published a trading update for the 20 weeks up to 11th January 2026. In that update it said that group turnover was up 7,4% and that pharmacy sales had gained 9%. They also commented that they had record Black Friday sales and robust customer demand for their Christmas gift range.

Consider the diagram below.

Clicks (CSL) : February 2016 - 23rd of January 2026. Chart by ShareFriend Pro.

The top chart in the diagram below shows the share price of Clicks over the last ten years. The lower chart shows the 200-day overbought/oversold (OB/OS) of Clicks over the same period.

On the OB/OS I have drawn in a -10% buy line and you can see that over the ten-year period there have been just 5 occasions (the green arrows) on which the OB/OS has fallen below -10%. Then considering the top chart you can see that, on each of those occasions, Clicks represented an excellent buying opportunity (the red circles).

On Friday last week, the Clicks OB/OS ended the week at –10,64%. And you will observe that historically it generally does not spend a great deal of time below that minus 10% buy line. Inevitably, the fund managers become aware that it is heavily over-sold and begin buying it, driving the price up again.

Of course, the fact that Clicks is heavily oversold right now does not guarantee that it will not fall further and you should always maintain a stop-loss strategy. But, if you are buying, it does give you a good indication of your probability of being right. In my estimation, the share has spent about 2% of its time over the last ten years below that -10% buy line. That means that your statistical probability of being wrong in buying it at that level is therefore extremely low.

And you will have one great satisfaction – you are not buying it at +24% - but somebody did! Otherwise, the chart would not have gone there.  It is amazing to consider that, less than 4 months ago on 25th September 2025, there were institutional fund managers buying Clicks at an OB/OS level of over +24% (the red arrow). If you buy now at -10,64%, you are certainly doing a lot better than them!

JSE Top 40

113,645.00 (-0.61%)

All Share

121,845.00 (-0.55%)

Financial 15

27,146.00 (-0.34%)

J200
J203
J212
Top Gainers
# Code Name Close (c) % move
1 SOL SASOL 14242 +10.94%
2 BRT BRIMSTON 601 +9.07%
3 DLT DELPROP 38 +8.57%
Top Losers
# Code Name Close (c) % move
1 EUZ EUROMET 21 -55.32%
2 RNG RANGOLD 78 -22.00%
3 LAB LABAT 6 -14.29%

Top Movers – Charts

Top Gainer: SOL
Top Loser: EUZ