ARTICLES

JSE Overall Index versus S&P 500 Index

The comparative relative strength index (CRSI) is a very useful indicator. It simply divides one data stream in your software by another and then draws a chart of the result. This enables you to compare the growth in the two data streams against each other graphically. 

Consider the chart:

The top half of this chart is a candlestick of the JSE Overall index, showing its record high at 77536 on 2^nd March 2022. The chart in the lower half of the screen is calculated by dividing the JSE Overall index by the S&P500 index from Wall Street. As you can see, the lower chart shows that the JSE Overall index has been outperforming the S&P500 index since December last year.

South African investors have been drawn to the fact that the downward trend on the JSE Overall index began three months later than the downtrend on the S&P500 and the fact that the JSE Overall index has only fallen by 16,16% so far compared to the S&P500 index from Wall Street which has fallen by as much as 23,55%. In fact, strictly, based on this, the JSE has not yet entered a bear trend – which is defined as a fall of at least 20%.

What this analysis leaves out is the rand/dollar exchange rate. If you again use the CRSI to divide the JSE Overall index by the rand dollar exchange rate, you will see that, in US dollars, the JSE Overall index has actually fallen by about 22%. Consider the chart:

Here you can see that, in US dollars, the JSE Overall index peaked on 4^th April 2022 and had fallen by 25% by 6^th July 2022 – taking it comfortably into bear market territory. And this is because during that time the rand fell from R14.58 to R16.82 to the US dollar.

This analysis shows the usefulness of the CRSI indicator in your software. You can find the CRSI among the indicators listed at the bottom of your screen below the chart. To get a better explanation of the CRSI go to our lecture module 26.

DISCLAIMER

All information and data contained within the PDSnet Articles is for informational purposes only. PDSnet makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, suitability, or validity, of any information, and shall not be liable for any errors, omissions, or any losses, injuries, or damages arising from its display or use. Information in the PDSnet Articles are based on the author’s opinion and experience and should not be considered professional financial investment advice. The ideas and strategies should never be used without first assessing your own personal and financial situation, or without consulting a financial professional. Thoughts and opinions will also change from time to time as more information is accumulated. PDSnet reserves the right to delete any comment or opinion for any reason.

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A BIT OF HISTORY

Many years ago, in 1982 when I started this business (which became “PDSnet”), I ran advertisements in both the Rand Daily Mail (RDM) and in the Star – which were the two most widely read newspapers in Johannesburg at the time. At that time, we were a very small business and had no credit rating at all. Despite this the RDM immediately