ARTICLES

4Sight

The world has, in the last twenty years, entered what has been characterised as the 4^th Industrial Revolution (4IR). It has been described as “... the biggest structural change of the past 250 years — a transformation of scale, scope and complexity unlike anything humankind has experienced before.” In simpler terms, 4IR refers to the digital convergence of artificial intelligence (AI), the Internet of things (IOT), robotics and cloud computing. 

The importance of 4IR was perhaps best illustrated by the announcement of Tesla’s Optimus Gen 2 humanoid robot in December 2023. This robot is specifically designed to operate in and learn from a world which is designed for people. It has the physical form and capabilities of a human being, but with greater strength and endurance.

Elon Musk suggests that within a relatively short time there will be millions of humanoid robots in the world performing thousands of boring, repetitive or dangerous tasks which are currently done by people. This development is at once both exciting and frightening since it will revolutionise almost every aspect of human behaviour. 4IR aims to increase productivity in all areas of human endeavour.

The only company listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) which is specifically exploiting the shift to 4IR directly is 4Sight (4SI). 4SI listed on the JSE in October 2017, but only began to attract the attention of investors towards the end of last year. We added it to the Winning Shares List on 5^th August 2023 at a price of 31c and it has since risen to 72c. Consider the chart:

The company operates through four “clusters”:

1. Operational Technologies - 4IR technologies and services to help industrial customers with their full end-to-end digital transformation journey.
2. Information Technologies - enabling the digital transformation of ERP, accounting, human resources, and payroll disciplines.
3. Business Environment - partners with customers to drive value-creating digital transformation in specific areas of the business.
4. Channel Partner - supporting and empowering an ever-expanding channel of value-added resellers across Africa, the Middle East, and Central Europe.

In its results for the six months to 30^th June 2023, the company reported revenue up 37,1% and headline earnings per share (HEPS) up 197,2%.

The company’s balance sheet shows a healthy cash balance of R93m, up 33% on the previous comparable period.

In our view, this is a company growing rapidly on the back of the latest developments in computers and the internet. The only real problem with investing in a share like this is understanding exactly what it is that they do – but they are clearly very successful and expanding quickly.

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PDSNET ARTICLES - OCTOBER 2021

New Record High

As we predicted, the S&P500 reached a new all-time record high on Thursday 21^st October 2021 at 4549.78. This officially means that the correction that it was going through is over. That correction took the index down to a closing low of 4300.46 (on 4th October 2021) – which is a 5,2% decline from the cycle high of 4536.95

Hulamin - Insider Trading

In our opinion on Hulamin, last updated on 3^rd September 2021, we noted “What is noteworthy about this share is that it has a net asset value (NAV) which is more than 3 times its current share price making it a possible takeover target”.

On Thursday last week the company issued a bland “cautionary” notice

Calgro-M3

Calgro used to be the darling of the institutional investors. Every fund manager in South Africa was buying the share and it rose dramatically from as little at 50c in February 2011 to an intraday high of 2275c on 11^th August 2015. At this point it had a market capitalisation of R2,8bn and was trading on a price:earnings (P:E) ratio of