More Fundamentals

28 June 2021 By PDSNET

In last week’s article we suggested that it was important to understand where a company was in its financial cycle and to download its most recent financial results in PDF format. Since then, one of South Africa’s best and most iconic companies, Hudaco, has published its interim financial results for the six months to 31st May 2021 (interim financial results) So, in this article we will consider a few of the important pieces of information which it contained.

Hudaco is deeply integrated with the South African economy at every level, supplying parts and services to the automotive industry and a range of other products such as “bearings and belts, electrical power transmission, diesel engine, hydraulics and pneumatics, specialised steel, thermoplastic fittings and filtration businesses supply engineering consumables, mainly to mining and manufacturing customers”.

I have taken 4 extracts from its latest interims which I intend to examine:

  1. “The financial position has strengthened even further. Bank borrowings are R594 million, down R50 million since November 2020”

The first point is that the company reduced its gearing by R50m during the period. This improves the company’s security and gives it the cash to pursue further acquisitions. Hudaco grows both organically and by acquisition. Over the years it has proved very astute at finding and executing “bolt-on” acquisitions which enhance and expand its businesses. The fact that Hudaco had a strong balance sheet enabled it to survive COVID-19 and the various lockdowns extremely well.

  1. “Trading generated cash of R458 million of which R65 million was reinvested in working capital as we stock up in anticipation of the busier second half trading and we respond to challenges in the global supply chain by increasing inventory. This resulted in cash generated from operations of R393 million up from R301 million in the first half of 2019”

It is very important that a company is able to convert its sales into cash and Hudaco is very effective at doing that, despite the fact that its business involves maintaining substantial working capital. You will note that, in anticipation of increased business, the company has increased working capital by R65m. Working capital is simply defined as the company’s debtors plus its stock/inventory, minus its creditors – literally the capital which is working in the business from day to day. Hudaco always has to have a substantial debtors' book and must also carry significant stock to meet orders from its clients. Managing these two elements of working capital is critical to the business’ profitability. Obviously, management is always looking to keep stock and debtors to a minimum, but they also must be able to fill customer orders when they come in and they must always offer competitive credit terms to their clients – otherwise they would lose clients.

  1. “During the six months we also paid dividends of R135 million, finance costs of R19 million, taxation of R62 million and returned a further R36 million to shareholders by repurchasing shares. Borrowings are comfortably within our self-imposed conservative guidelines and our available banking facilities. Unless we make further acquisitions, our usual strong second half cash generation should reduce them further by year end”

This extract shows that the company managed to pay out dividends to shareholders, something which many listed companies decided not to do following the pandemic. It also shows that the company only paid out R19m in finance costs – which is a significant drop from the R43m it paid in the six months to 31st May 2020 or the R55m it paid in the six months to 31st May 2019. In other words, the company’s financial position has improved markedly. The company bought back R36m worth of its own shares during the period. Listed companies buy back their own shares when the directors perceive that the share is well below the company’s true value. Obviously, in the six months between April and October 2020, the company’s shares were very, very cheap. By buying back some of these shares and then cancelling them, the directors reduced the number of shares which the company had in issue – which made the remaining shares that much more valuable. This is effectively a transfer of value to the remaining shareholders (and is taxed as a dividend).

  1. “Comparable earnings per share were up by 32.1% to 686 cents and basic and headline earnings per share were up by 28.9% to 686 cents. The interim dividend has been increased 26.3% to 240 cents per share. Our dividend policy, which is to be covered between 2.5 and 2.0 times by comparable earnings annually, remains unchanged”.

The company generated much improved headline earnings per share (HEPS) and paid out a higher dividend in line with their dividend policy. Listed companies usually have an established policy to pay out a certain percentage of their after-tax profits to shareholders in the form of a dividend. In Hudaco’s case the dividend must be “covered” between 2 and 2,5 times in its profits. In other words, its profits for the period must be between 2 and 2,5 times as much as the dividend which it declares. The company had HEPS of 686c and paid out a dividend of 240c – which is a dividend cover of 2,86, slightly above their policy range. This conservative dividend policy ensures that the company always retains most of its profit to finance future growth.

Technically, the share has offered private investors a solid return. Consider the chart:

Hudaco: February 2018 - 25 June 2021. Chart by ShareFriend Pro.

You can see here that Hudaco was already in a downward trend when COVID-19 began in March 2020. The pandemic caused it to fall sharply to lower levels where it formed an “island”. Our advice was always to wait for a break above its long-term downward trendline – which occurred on 27th January 2021 at a price of 9008c. Since then, the share has moved up strongly as investors discounted expected future growth. It closed last Friday (25th June 2021) at 11850c – a gain of 31,5% in five months. We expect it to continue to perform well as the economy recovers.


DISCLAIMER

All information and data contained within the PDSnet Articles is for informational purposes only. PDSnet makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, suitability, or validity, of any information, and shall not be liable for any errors, omissions, or any losses, injuries, or damages arising from its display or use. Information in the PDSnet Articles are based on the author’s opinion and experience and should not be considered professional financial investment advice. The ideas and strategies should never be used without first assessing your own personal and financial situation, or without consulting a financial professional. Thoughts and opinions will also change from time to time as more information is accumulated. PDSnet reserves the right to delete any comment or opinion for any reason.



Share this article:

PDSNET ARTICLES

Exponential Growth

The  S&P 500 index is important because all the stock markets around the world tend to follow it. If the S&P is in a bull trend then London, Tokyo and the JSE will also be in a bull trend – and vice versa.

The S&P500 index began 68 years ago on 4 th March 1957 with an initial value of 43,73. It took nearly

The US Jobs Market

International investors who trade on Wall Street are generally negative about any good news from the economy because it tends to make the monetary policy committee (MPC) more hawkish and less likely to reduce interest rates. The opposite is also true. But there comes a point where bad news is so bad that investors begin to fear that the US economy is heading

Jackson Hole

Once a year in late August central bankers and academics congregate in Jackson Hole to discuss the state of the economy and consider the way forward. Traditionally, the Chair of the Federal Reserve Bank (“the Fed”) addresses the meeting and gives direction to its thinking on monetary policy in the US. This year, the comments of Jerome Powell resulted in the

Choppies

Choppies is a supermarket chain which operates in Botswana, Namibia and Zambia. It is listed both on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) and on the Botswana Stock Exchange (BSE). Notably, the company has resisted the temptation to re-enter the highly competitive and cut-throat retail market in South Africa, having exited that market in 2020 due to sustained losses. Despite

Gold Resistance

All investments throughout the world can be ranked on a scale from high risk to low risk. As a general rule, in the world of investment, risk and return rise together. In other words, as the risks in an investment increase, so does the return necessary to attract investors.

At the one end of the scale there are very low risk investments

Sibanye takes off

We have been writing about Neal Froneman and Sibanye for years now. Beginning in 2013, Froneman assembled the Sibanye group over a period of 7 years, buying up mining operations both in South Africa and America at bargain prices. Initially he bought precious metals producers, but more recently he has been diversifying into base metals like zinc and lithium which

The 16 Year Bull Trend

Since the Second World War, the stock markets of the world, including the JSE, have always tended to follow the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) - and the NYSE is best measured by the S&P500 index (S&P) of its 500 largest companies.

For this reason, we believe it is important for private investors to constantly

CA Sales Revisited

Retailing in Africa is difficult with many of our leading retailers having attempted to open stores in countries to the North of us without notable success. These countries are often unstable and volatile politically. Getting adequate stock to branches has proved problematic and expensive.

It is not surprising therefore that a company has been

Bluetel

Bluetel (BLU) is a company involved in pinless top-ups, prepaid electricity, ticketing and universal vouchers. As such it is a company with substantial repeat business from existing customers. This type of business model is attractive to investors because it implies minimal working capital and strong cash flows.

Bluetel’s purchase

The Debtors' Book

A BIT OF HISTORY

Many years ago, in 1982 when I started this business (which became “PDSnet”), I ran advertisements in both the Rand Daily Mail (RDM) and in the Star – which were the two most widely read newspapers in Johannesburg at the time. At that time, we were a very small business and had no credit rating at all. Despite this the RDM immediately